Davos 2026: the New Shape of Global Capital

At the 2026 World Economic Forum, the “spirit of dialogue” was strongly underpinned by a broader economic reorientation shaped by technology, capital deployment, and geopolitical realism.

From the perspective of global investors, the meeting highlighted how capital markets, private investment, and infrastructure are adapting to a world increasingly defined by AI, energy constraints, and structural fragmentation.

Fink’s speeches and his leadership role helped bring investment and technology themes to the forefront of the forum. This emphasis is often interpreted as a shift, reflecting a different weighting of priorities rather than a formal change in the Forum’s underlying mission.

From the investors perspective, several themes stood out for Venture Capital (VC), Private Equity (PE), and broader asset allocation.

  1. AI: Huge Infrastructure Buildout

AI was consistently framed as the foundation of a multi-decade infrastructure expansion not as a speculative bubble.

The AI buildout was described as a “five-layer cake” spanning energy systems, semiconductor manufacturing, data centres, AI models, and application layers. Data centre spending alone exceeded 500 billion in 2025, highlighting how capital intensity is currently concentrated at the infrastructure level.

While near-term investment remains infrastructure-heavy, the longer-term economic value is expected to emerge at the application layer, where AI is increasingly embedded into traditional industries rather than existing as a standalone technology sector.

  1. Venture Capital: Scale, Concentration, and AI Dominance

Venture capital activity remained a central discussion point, particularly in relation to AI’s growing dominance within global deal flow.

According to PitchBook data, global VC deal volume reached approximately $512.6 billion in 2025, with AI-related investments accounting for roughly $270 billion of that total. This reflects the extent to which AI has become the primary driver of venture capital deployment worldwide.

At Davos, AI investment trends were discussed less in terms of speculative growth and more in terms of commercial maturity. Investors noted that many AI-focused firms are now building on models that are sufficiently robust for industrial-scale deployment across sectors such as healthcare, robotics, and financial services, shifting the conversation from experimentation to integration.

  1. Asset Allocation: Pro-Risk and Active Management

The forum coincided with the release of BlackRock’s 2026 Global Investment Outlook, which reinforced a more pro-risk stance across portfolios.

  • Equities Over Bonds:
    Long-dated government bonds were widely discussed as facing structural headwinds due to high capital costs, persistent fiscal pressure, and prolonged leverage. In contrast, equities were positioned as better aligned with growth driven by technological and productivity shifts.
  • Geographic Focus:
    The U.S. continues to be viewed as central due to its leadership in AI and advanced technologies, while India is increasingly seen as a structural growth market offering diversification beyond the core AI theme.
  • Active vs. Passive:
    With “mega forces” such as AI concentrating market leadership among fewer companies, active management and stock selection were repeatedly highlighted as increasingly important. Broad passive exposure may struggle to capture the dispersion between winners and laggards created by these dynamics.
  1. Private Markets and Private Credit

The scale of the AI and energy transitions implies financing needs that extend beyond what public markets alone can provide.

  • Private Credit Opportunities:
    Large-scale infrastructure projects are driving demand for private credit, particularly where flexibility and bespoke financing structures are required alongside public debt.
  • Private Equity and Alternatives:
    Participants emphasized the need to rethink diversification. Assets with independent return drivers, including private equity, infrastructure, and other alternatives, are increasingly viewed as essential as traditional bond allocations may no longer provide the same defensive characteristics.
  1. Energy and Critical Minerals: The Age of Electricity

Energy security emerged as a core strategic concern, increasingly framed in national security terms.

  • Electricity Demand:
    Global electricity demand is rising significantly faster than total energy demand, driven by AI data centres, electric vehicles, and climate-related cooling needs. Meeting this demand will require substantial expansion of generation capacity over the coming decade.
  • Critical Minerals:
    The transition is highly mineral-intensive, particularly for copper. With long-term demand expected to rise sharply and ore grades declining, mining executives highlighted the growing mismatch between supply readiness and projected demand, underscoring the need for policy reform and sustained capital investment.
  1. Investment Risks and Governance

Despite the constructive tone, the forum did not ignore the risks facing investors.

  • Valuations:
    Market participants acknowledged elevated equity valuations and widespread optimism around AI. While there was reluctance to label current conditions a bubble, many warned that volatility is likely to increase as clear winners and losers emerge.
  • Geopolitical Fragmentation:
    Supply chains are increasingly viewed through a security lens rather than purely an efficiency lens. For investors, this implies a world where trade, regulation, and geopolitics can override traditional market logic, requiring more resilient and flexible investment strategies.

Stewardship and Governance:
BlackRock’s 2026 stewardship guidelines reinforced the importance of active ownership, focusing on board independence, executive compensation aligned with performance, and disclosure of sustainability risks that materially affect long-term financial returns.

Closing Perspective

Overall, Davos 2026 reflected a more grounded investment narrative: optimistic about technology and productivity gains, but increasingly realistic about capital intensity, geopolitical constraints, and the limits of traditional diversification. For investors, the message was clear, AI and energy transitions represent historic opportunities, but success will depend on disciplined capital allocation, active management, and governance that keeps pace with structural change.


This article reflects discussions and perspectives shared during the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026 and related industry research. It is intended for general informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice.

Sources & References

  • The Trade Hub– “Davos ’26: Making Sense of a New World Order”, John Stackhouse, January 25, 2026
  • PitchBook,Global Venture Capital Report 2025
  • McKinsey & Company,Global Data Center and Energy Infrastructure Estimates
  • World Economic Forum,Annual Meeting 2026 – A Spirit of Dialogue

WEF 2026

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